T20T20I · 22 Jul 2026 · Example fixture (illustrative)
IndiavEngland
Elo declines a call inside its abstention band. Below: where the probability sits, and why.
India won the toss and chose to bat. This prediction uses the announced XI and the post-toss model.
shaded band = too-close-to-call zone (45% to 55%)
Elo, our prediction engine · post-toss model v1.0-20260709-t20-k96-posttoss, generated 19 Jul 2026. For entertainment and analysis; past performance does not guarantee outcomes.
Why this call
- Named XI qualityINDIndia
- Elo rating edgeENGEngland
- Recent formINDIndia
- Venue and chasing
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Elo's take
The model abstains: 54% is inside the coin-flip zone where history says these games are unpredictable. Ball-by-ball simulations project India around 203 (likely range 137 to 257) and England around 196 (130 to 247) batting first. Edgbaston, Birmingham rewards runs on the board: 0% of 8 decided games were chased down. Key matchup: JC Archer has removed JJ Bumrah 2 times in 18 balls while conceding 8 (SR 44). Form: India won 2 of their last 5; England won 3 of their last 5. JC Buttler leads the fantasy board (projected 71 points, ceiling 168). Differential watch: LS Livingstone carries a 53% shot at a 50+ point game.
Number crunching
- All square in the last 10 meetings: 5-5.
- India have won 0 of their last 5; England have won 4 of their last 5.
- Chasing sides win 0% of T20I games at Edgbaston, Birmingham; par first innings is about 175.
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