Its record, its calls, and yours against it.
Not enough history yet for a trend: 2 months of 4. Elo's Brier is scored on every settled match from the first one, and the shape over time appears here once there is enough of it to read.
Elo called 14 of 16 settled matches correctly over the week, delivering 86% accuracy. The model's Brier score of 0.168 improved on the previous four weeks' 0.22. Elo's best call came at Portugal over Greece with 93% confidence, though it also misfired on Czech Republic against Israel at 85% confidence when Israel won.
Week of 17 Aug 2026
Elo, the prediction engine
Not enough history yet for a trend: 2 months of 4. Elo's Brier is scored on every settled match from the first one, and the shape over time appears here once there is enough of it to read.
Elo called 14 of 16 settled matches correctly over the week, delivering 86% accuracy. The model's Brier score of 0.168 improved on the previous four weeks' 0.22. Elo's best call came at Portugal over Greece with 93% confidence, though it also misfired on Czech Republic against Israel at 85% confidence when Israel won.
Week of 17 Aug 2026. Written by Elo from its own settled record, and checked against it before publishing.
Scored from pre-match state on seasons Elo never trained on. Calling matches against Elo is for fun and bragging rights only: it is not betting, odds, or any real-money game, and picks lock at the toss so everyone calls it blind.