T20MLC · 23 Jul 2026 · Example fixture (illustrative)
TSKTexas Super KingsvMINYMI New York
Elo declines a call inside its abstention band. Below: where the probability sits, and why.
shaded band = too-close-to-call zone (36% to 64%)
Elo, our prediction engine · pre-toss model v1.0-20260709-t20-k96-pretoss, generated 19 Jul 2026. For entertainment and analysis; past performance does not guarantee outcomes.
Why this call
- Venue and chasingMNYMI New York
- Elo rating edgeMNYMI New York
- Named XI qualityMNYMI New York
- Head to head
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Elo's take
Too close for a rigorous call; the model leans MI New York (62% on the favored side). Ball-by-ball simulations project Texas Super Kings around 184 (likely range 136 to 226) and MI New York around 185 (118 to 236) batting first. Key matchup: AJ Hosein has removed MD Patel 2 times in 23 balls while conceding 14 (SR 61). Form: Texas Super Kings won 0 of their last 5; MI New York won 1 of their last 5. Shubham Ranjane leads the fantasy board (projected 89 points, ceiling 169). Differential watch: Q de Kock carries a 52% shot at a 50+ point game.
Number crunching
- Texas Super Kings lead the last 9 meetings 6-3.
- Texas Super Kings have won 0 of their last 5; MI New York have won 2 of their last 5.
- Chasing sides win 53% of MLC games at Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas; par first innings is about 179.
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