T20T20I · 12 Dec 2026 · South Africa vs Bangladesh, 2nd T20I, Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026
South AfricavBangladesh
shaded band = too-close-to-call zone (45% to 55%)
Elo, our prediction engine · pre-toss model v1.0-20260709-t20-k96-pretoss, generated 17 Jul 2026. For entertainment and analysis; past performance does not guarantee outcomes.
Beat Elo
your record →Call the winner before the toss. Change it any time until then.
Elo's take
The model makes a rigorous call: South Africa at 57%. Ball-by-ball simulations project South Africa around 157 (likely range 100 to 202) and Bangladesh around 168 (90 to 223) batting first. Willowmoore Park, Benoni leans chase: 58% of 12 decided games went to the side batting second. Key matchup: KA Maharaj has removed Taskin Ahmed 2 times in 23 balls while conceding 17 (SR 74). Form: South Africa won 4 of their last 5; Bangladesh won 1 of their last 5. GF Linde leads the fantasy board (projected 82 points, ceiling 159). Differential watch: OEG Baartman carries a 51% shot at a 50+ point game.
Number crunching
- South Africa lead the last 9 meetings 9-0.
- South Africa have won 3 of their last 5; Bangladesh have won 1 of their last 5.
- Chasing sides win 58% of T20I games at Willowmoore Park, Benoni; par first innings is about 143.
Go deeper