T20T20I · 26 Jul 2026 · India tour of Zimbabwe 2026
IndiavZimbabwe
Elo's pre-toss call. The full probability and reasoning are below.
shaded band = too-close-to-call zone (45% to 55%)
Elo, our prediction engine · pre-toss model v1.0-20260709-t20-k96-pretoss, generated 20 Jul 2026. For entertainment and analysis; past performance does not guarantee outcomes.
Why this call
- Elo rating edgeINDIndia
- Venue and chasingZIMZimbabwe
- Named XI qualityINDIndia
- Recent formZIM
The model's own signed feature attributions for this match, strongest first, grouped from its 25 inputs. They explain the learned component of the call; the shipped probability also blends an Elo-only baseline and is then calibrated.
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Elo's take
The model makes a rigorous call: India at 59%. Ball-by-ball simulations project India around 187 (likely range 134 to 239) and Zimbabwe around 176 (102 to 225) batting first. Key matchup: B Muzarabani has removed SV Samson 2 times in 20 balls while conceding 24 (SR 120). Form: India won 2 of their last 5; Zimbabwe won 2 of their last 5. Abhishek Sharma leads the fantasy board (projected 88 points, ceiling 183). Differential watch: Tilak Varma carries a 49% shot at a 50+ point game.
Number crunching
- India lead the last 10 meetings 8-2.
- India have won 0 of their last 5; Zimbabwe have won 2 of their last 5.
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