T20T20I · 10 Dec 2026 · South Africa vs Bangladesh, 1st T20I, Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026
South AfricavBangladesh
shaded band = too-close-to-call zone (45% to 55%)
Elo, our prediction engine · pre-toss model v1.0-20260709-t20-k96-pretoss, generated 17 Jul 2026. For entertainment and analysis; past performance does not guarantee outcomes.
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Elo's take
The model makes a rigorous call: South Africa at 57%. Ball-by-ball simulations project South Africa around 157 (likely range 100 to 203) and Bangladesh around 169 (92 to 224) batting first. Key matchup: KA Maharaj has removed Taskin Ahmed 2 times in 23 balls while conceding 17 (SR 74). Form: South Africa won 4 of their last 5; Bangladesh won 1 of their last 5. GF Linde leads the fantasy board (projected 80 points, ceiling 154). Differential watch: OEG Baartman carries a 49% shot at a 50+ point game.
Number crunching
- South Africa lead the last 9 meetings 9-0.
- South Africa have won 3 of their last 5; Bangladesh have won 1 of their last 5.
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